Champions League Group E – September 6th, 2022 – Dinamo Zagrab vs Chelsea – Preview & Betting Tips

Dinamo Zagreb vs Chelsea

Location: Stadion Maksimir

How to Watch: TUDN, Paramount+

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Kickoff

Through five game weeks of the 2022/23 EPL season, Chelsea currently sit with 7 points (a rather unconvincing 7 I might add). Chelsea have two wins (Everton & Leicester) by a margin of one goal a piece. It is worth noting that these two teams are currently 2 of the 3 winless teams remaining in the league.

Couple that with a non competitive performance away at Major Leeds United, and 7 points from 5 games feels like dodging a bullet. But the play from the blues hasn’t passed the eye test either.

A group of MLS alumni seemingly had their way with the London giants. Conor Gallagher made Tyler Adams look like N’Golo Kante throughout the match. Meanwhile Wake Forest/NYCFC Alumni Jack Harrison and Union Alumni Brenden Aaronson pressed Chelsea magnificently for 90 minutes. Brenden Aaronson even stole Edouard Mendy’s cookies, emphasizing a comical error with a no look goal.

Chelsea is currently largely favored (-235 on Draft Kings/-225 on Barstool) to win their match away at Dinamo Zagreb…. but that seems high for a team that beat Everton 1-0 (you know… the team that lost 4-0 to Minnesota United…).

Dinamo Zagreb have been solid at home, winning their last 4 home league games, and scoring 16 goals in the process. Whereas Chelsea have seemingly struggled on the road to start the season. Couple that with the gauntlet of compressed games coming up for the blues (5 games in less than 15 days) and this being the middle fixture in that stretch. I wouldn’t be shocked if Chelsea played more defensively and rotated players. That being said, Chelsea has the players and depth to pull this off. But given their current stretch and form, I don’t see the blues suddenly changing overnight.

With Dinamo Zagreb sitting atop their league table with a +15 goal differential, I fully expect them to take advantage of Chelsea’s early miscues with a brace.

Dinamo Zagreb Match Facts
  • In their last 6 matches, Dinamo Zagreb has scored 13 goals and allowed 7 goals.
  • 10/13 goals were scored at home.
  • Both teams have scored in 4 of the last 6 games played, including all 3 home games in that span.
  • 65% of their matches end over 2.5 goals
Chelsea Match Facts
  • Chelsea have conceded 8 goals in their last 5, while only scoring 6 in that same span.
  • 60% of their matches end over 2.5 goals
  • 1-2 on the road in the EPL this season. (1 win @ winless Everton)

It’s always a difficult group. I have never experienced an easy group. I don’t care about the names or leagues. We want to go through.

-Thomas Tuchel

Stadium Capacity

Originally holding a capacity of over 35,000, Stadion Maksimir capacity has been reduced to just shy of 26,000. An earthquake in 2020 affected the structural integrity of the east stand (capacity of 9500) and has been deemed unusable since.


Match Day Best Bets

Over 2.5 Goals

-132

No Risk. Will monitor if line comes down but currently not worth it at -136.

Both Team To Score (BTTS)

+100

Risk 0.50 Units to win 0.50 Units

Parlay – Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS

+148

Risk 1 Units to win 1.48 Units

Match Prediction:

Chelsea Winning Margin

1 Goal (+255)

Exact Score

Chelsea 2 – 1 Dinamo Zagreb (+700)

Jonny Mifsud
Jonny Mifsud

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